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Java Technology Facts & Figures JAVA DEVELOPER STATS JAVA TECHNOLOGY STATS CONSUMER & EMBEDDED EDUCATION THE NETWORK ECONOMY ANALYST QUOTES JAVA DEVELOPER STATS JAVA DEVELOPER CONNECTION MEMBERS (source: java.sun.com) 70,000+ in August '97 233,000+ in January '98 789,300+ in January '99 957,600+ in June '99 1,030,000+ in August '99 1,181,000+ in November '99 1,322,015+ in April '00 SUN DEVELOPER CONNECTION MEMBERS (source: java.sun.com) 1,100,000+ in August '99 1,362,000+ in November '99 1,528,824+ in April '00 JAVA TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPERS (source: IDC) 82,059 YE 1996 287,945 YE 1997 727,580 YE 1998 1,753,011 expected by YE 1999 4,164,574 expected by YE 2003 JAVAONE ATTENDEES (source: Ziff Davis) 6,000+ JavaOne '96 10,000+ JavaOne '97 14,000+ JavaOne '98 20,000+ JavaOne '99 JAVA TECHNOLOGY STATS JDK 1.1 DOWNLOADS (source: java.sun.com) 1,000,000+ by August '97 2,000,000+ by December '97 2,500,000+ by March '98 4,030,568+ by December '98 4,500,000+ by June '99 4,585,000+ by August '99 4,770,000+ by December '99 JAVA 2 DOWNLOADS (source: www.sun.com) 750,000+ by June '99 1,000,000+ by August '99 1,685,000+ by November '99 2,325,000+ by February '00 2,558,896+ by April '00 JAVA SPECIFICATION REQUESTS (source: Sun Microsystems, Inc.) 65 JSRs, April '00 JAVA.SUN.COM HITS (March 2000) 36 Million Page Views per Month over 1.1 Million Visitors per Month COMMERCIAL APPLICATIONS LISTED IN JAVA SOLUTIONS GUIDE 466 at JavaOne '97 947 at JavaOne '98 1,596 at JavaOne '99 JAVA PROGRAMMNG LANGUAGE OUTNUMBER C++ Java is now outstripping C++ as the e-business language of choice by a margin of 51 percent to 37 percent, according to the Cutter Consortium. CONSUMER & EMBEDDED (source: C & E) According to Dataquest forecasts, the smart card market is estimated to reach approximately $3.4 billion by 2001. Sun has licensed the Java Card Platform to 30 smart card manufacturers, representing more than 90% of the world's card manufacturing capability. Over the next five years, the industry will experience steady growth, particularly in cards and devices to conduct electronic commerce and to enable secure access to computer networks. Smart cards are expected to be used in 95% of the digital wireless phone services offered worldwide. Symbian has adopted PJava for future releases of EPOC 32 for cellular smart phones and communicators. Estimated that there will be one billion cellular phone users by 2005. Estimated 12.7 million TV-based access devices by 2002. Over 18,000 downloads on Sun's Community Source Licensing website for Jini service. Recently announced relationship with AMIC consists of all of the world's car manufacturers; they've chosen Java as the basis for their multimedia application architecture inside of cars Micrologic Research's Wireless 2000 report says that 254 million GSM telephones will be sold worldwide in 2004. According to Datacomm Research, by 2003, shipments of "smart" phones and handheld Internet devices will exceed 350 million units. Cahners In-Stat Group forecasts that wireless data users in enterprise segments will multiply more than tenfold, from 784,000 in 1999 to nearly 9 million in 2003. Analysts expect the home networking market to boom - Cahners In'Stat Group predicts it will grow from sales of $281 million this year to $1.4 billion by 2003. R. Kevin Hause, an analyst at researcher International Data Corp., predicts by 2004, sales of non-PC devices will reach 11 million units. The Boston-based Yankee Group estimates there will be more than 1 billion Web-enabled mobile devices by 2003, generating as much as 63 percent of transactions on the Web. EDUCATION JAVA @ UNIVERSITIES (source: Sun Education) 79% of universities are teaching the Java Programming Language; 50% of these require Java Programming Language as a mandatory course. (Gartner Group. 1/98) JAVA BOOKS IN PRINT (source: JavaWorld Book Catalog) 25 books April '96 800 books August '97 1,054 books January '98 1,319 books January '99 1,575 books June '99 1,673 books September '99 THE NETWORK ECONOMY (source: University of Texas Center for Research in EC, 6/10/99 Study) Internet economy generated an estimated $301.4 billion in US '98. Internet economy created 1.2 million jobs during '98. Between 1995 and 1998, the Internet economy grew by 174.5% vs the US gross domestic product, which grew 2.8% during same time. In 1998, the Internet Economy outpaced the energy sector and was slightly behind the auto industry. ANALYST QUOTES Java Platform "Frankly, if you're going with almost any major vendor, the Java platform plays a role in their solution." (Darryl Plummer, Gartner Group 5/99) "Today the common issue is how Java should be implemented rather than if it should be implemented." (Gartner Group, 4/99) "...Java clearly will play a major role in the future of the computing industry and will be a ubiquitous alternative to Microsoft standards." (Tom Kucharvy, Summit Strategies, 2/99) "Java is alone in its ability to support a network-based as well as a server-side security policy. We recommend that it be used where security issues are paramount. " (M. Zboray, Gartner Group 2/99) The Java 2 Platform, Enterprise Edition represents a true advancement in enterprise application creation and distribution. Sun is providing a platform that allows faster, more cost-effective development and deployment of enterprise applications using current technologies such as EJB. The Java 2 Platform, Enterprise Edition enables easy migration and seamless integration of enterprise technologies and services." (Steve Garone, Java Program Director at International Data Corporation, 6/99) Programmers using the Java and CORBA (common object request broker architecture) programming models outnumber those targeting Microsoft's COM programming model by nearly a 2-to-1 margin: 44 percent to 24 percent." (Forrester Research, Inc. 7/99) About 44 percent of more than 500 software developers in North America said they are using Java some portion of the time. Outside of North America, about 43 percent of software developers said they are using Java. (Evans Marketing Services, Research Group, 11/99) Almost 40% of developers said they would prefer Enterprise Java Beans (EJB) in creating web e-commerce apps. This is three times more than those who favor Microsoft's COM/DCOM solution. (Evans Marketing Services, Research Group, 11/99) According to a recent study, 51% of companies say that Java is the e-business programming language of choice. (Cutter Consortium, 11/99) By 2002, Java virtual machine (JVM) penetration will exceed 90 percent of servers and desktops" (GartnerGroup, 11/99) Developers are adding Java to their repertoire and they intend to use it more and more. This is not the same pattern found in any other language today." (Janel Garvin, VP-Research, Evans Marketing Service, in Cambridge Telecom Report, 11/99) "The market for do-it-yourself home networks is small but growing fast. One market research firm, the Yankee Group, estimated that the number of U.S. homes with networks would grow from 660,000 at the end of 1999 to 9.5 million by the end of 2003." (The Yankee Group, 1/00) "The dot-com companies are trying to grow quickly. They don't go through long evaluations, and if everyone else uses Sun, it must be the horse to ride. It's almost as if Sun has become a de facto standard in the dot-com space." (Chuck Jones, analyst with Solomon Smith Barney, 2/00) During 2000/01, ongoing consolidation of application server, component framework, and development tool environments will drive evolution to more complete, integrated development and deployment platforms. By 2002/03, these platforms' proprietary infrastructure services (e.g., workflow, messaging, persistence, legacy integration) will create substantial barriers to application portability. Java will become the COBOL of the new millennium by 2004/05. (Meta Group, 1/00) The rapidly growing home networking equipment market reached $48 million for the 4th quarter '99. (Cahners In-Stat Group, 4/00) Internet "Forrester believes that companies with aggressive Internet initiatives should take a hard look at Sun's software offerings as their core application platform." (Forrester, 2/99) "As I see it, Sun is now on the verge of defining and establishing itself as the de facto leader of a new category... think of it as `Internet enablers.'" (Tom Kucharvy, Summit Strategies, 2/99) Study shows Internet generated an estimated $301B in the U.S. last year (CNN, 6/10/99) Java has become the programming language of choice for professional developers building Web applications." (IDC, 6/10/99) B2B/e-Commerce "The cold, harsh reality is that de facto standards often count as much or more than open standards," Goulde said. "At this point, Java is the de facto standard for e-business applications. Nothing Microsoft nor IBM is going to do will change that." (Michael Goulde, Patricia Seybold Group, 4/13/00) Hurwitz Group believes that the complexity of B2B applications over the long-haul will eventually weigh in on the side of taking better advantage of client-side computing resources... Sun has put J2SE 1.3 squarely into the middle position to be used as a key enabling technology to deliver on the idea of the balanced client. (Evan Quinn, VP, Application Strategies and Tracy Corbo, Senior Analyst May 8, 2000)